FULL SLATE RESEARCH BOARD
Kansas City Royals at Detroit Tigers · 1:10 PM ET
Market snapshot: Royals +148 / Tigers -166
Research Score: Not rated
Outcome Confidence: Not rated
Research read: Not Rated — game already underway
The game had already moved beyond the pre-game research window when this edition was completed, so no new Athlysis position is being assigned.
Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals · 4:05 PM ET
Market snapshot: Diamondbacks +116 / Nationals -135
Research Score: 5/10
Outcome Confidence: 5/10
Research read: Hold — stronger team and stronger starter point in opposite directions
Arizona owns the slightly stronger overall team profile, but Foster Griffin brings a substantial pitching advantage over Mitch Bratt and has allowed no more than one run in eight consecutive starts. The opposing advantages prevent a clean side.
Los Angeles Angels at San Francisco Giants · 4:05 PM ET
Market snapshot: Angels +113 / Giants -130
Research Score: 6/10
Outcome Confidence: 6/10
Research read: Lean — San Francisco Giants moneyline
Robbie Ray has been excellent at home and gives San Francisco the more established pitching profile. Ryan Johnson’s 6.10 season ERA looks vulnerable, although his 2.52 ERA across his last five starts materially reduces the apparent gap.
Toronto Blue Jays at Boston Red Sox · 4:10 PM ET
Market snapshot: Blue Jays -104 / Red Sox -110
Research Score: 8/10
Outcome Confidence: 7/10
Research read: Research Signal — Boston Red Sox moneyline
Boston pairs the stronger broader team profile with Gray’s sustained reliability and home field at essentially an even-money price. Cease is the principal counterargument.
San Diego Padres at Miami Marlins · 4:10 PM ET
Market snapshot: Padres +123 / Marlins -142
Research Score: 5/10
Outcome Confidence: 5/10
Research read: Hold — starting-pitcher advantage conflicts with severe team-form concerns
Eury Pérez owns a 1.14 ERA across his last seven starts and gives Miami the clear pitching edge over Randy Vásquez. The Marlins have nevertheless lost ten consecutive games, creating too much conflict to support them at -142.
New York Yankees at Philadelphia Phillies · 6:05 PM ET
Market snapshot: Yankees -125 / Phillies +108
Research Score: 5/10
Outcome Confidence: 5/10
Research read: Hold — Philadelphia pitching structure adds uncertainty
New York owns the slightly stronger season profile, but Philadelphia is opening with Tim Mayza rather than presenting a conventional starter matchup. The bullpen-game structure reduces confidence in a simple Yankees pitching advantage.
Cleveland Guardians at Tampa Bay Rays · 6:10 PM ET
Market snapshot: Guardians +106 / Rays -120
Research Score: 8/10
Outcome Confidence: 7/10
Research read: Research Signal — Tampa Bay Rays moneyline
Tampa Bay owns the stronger team profile, the more reliable full-season starter through Martinez and home field at a price that remains firmly workable.
Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates · 6:40 PM ET
Market snapshot: Cubs +105 / Pirates -120
Research Score: 5/10
Outcome Confidence: 5/10
Research read: Hold — stronger team and stronger starter point in opposite directions
Chicago carries the better overall season profile, while Paul Skenes supplies Pittsburgh with the starting-pitcher advantage over Shota Imanaga. The central layers point in different directions.
Atlanta Braves at Baltimore Orioles · 7:05 PM ET
Market snapshot: Braves -102 / Orioles -112
Research Score: 5/10
Outcome Confidence: 5/10
Research read: Hold — Atlanta’s team advantage conflicts with Baltimore’s pitching edge
Atlanta owns a major season-profile advantage, but Brandon Young has produced the stronger current starting record compared with Bryce Elder. The near-pick’em market reflects that conflict rather than presenting an obvious opportunity.
Athletics at Minnesota Twins · 7:10 PM ET
Market snapshot: Athletics +130 / Twins -146
Research Score: 4/10
Outcome Confidence: Not rated
Research read: Not Rated — Minnesota starting pitcher TBD
Brady Basso is listed for the Athletics, but Minnesota still lacks a sufficiently confirmed starter. The game cannot qualify for a Research Signal under the Athlysis confirmation rule.
Houston Astros at Chicago White Sox · 7:10 PM ET
Market snapshot: Astros +105 / White Sox -120
Research Score: 8/10
Outcome Confidence: 7/10
Research read: Research Signal — Chicago White Sox moneyline
Chicago combines the better season profile, Burke’s excellent current form and home field. Brown’s post-injury results strengthen the starting-pitcher advantage.
Colorado Rockies at Milwaukee Brewers · 7:10 PM ET
Market snapshot: Rockies +205 / Brewers -230
Research Score: 8/10
Outcome Confidence: 8/10
Research read: Price Hold — Milwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee owns an enormous team-profile advantage at 64-39 against Colorado’s 42-63 and also has home field. The underlying direction is clear, but -230 has already absorbed too much of that advantage.
Seattle Mariners at Texas Rangers · 7:15 PM ET
Market snapshot: Mariners -110 / Rangers -104
Research Score: 5/10
Outcome Confidence: 5/10
Research read: Hold — matchup is effectively balanced
The teams are closely matched in the standings and the Bryan Woo-Nathan Eovaldi pitching comparison provides no decisive separator. The near-pick’em market is appropriate.
Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Mets · 7:15 PM ET
Market snapshot: Dodgers -154 / Mets +135
Research Score: 6/10
Outcome Confidence: 7/10
Research read: Lean — Los Angeles Dodgers moneyline
Los Angeles owns the major team-profile advantage and Yoshinobu Yamamoto gives the Dodgers another positive layer. Nolan McLean is a legitimate opposing starter, however, and the -154 price requires a cleaner case before promotion to Research Signal level.
Cincinnati Reds at St. Louis Cardinals · 7:15 PM ET
Market snapshot: Reds -104 / Cardinals -110
Research Score: 6/10
Outcome Confidence: 6/10
Research read: Lean — St. Louis Cardinals moneyline
St. Louis owns the better record, home field and the more established 2026 workload from Andre Pallante. Hunter Greene’s 6.06 ERA comes from a limited sample and understates his underlying ability, preventing a stronger Cardinals classification.